BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN SO FAR THURSDAY EVENING
It turned out to be a beautiful A+ on the Muziometer Tuesday. Highs rose to the upper 70s and low 80s in the South Valley. As upper level high pressure expands a bit further into the state we should see yet another stellar day Wednesday.
But a sharp cold front is due to slice across our region on Thursday evening. Temperatures both Wednesday and Thursday should peak in the mid 80s. But clouds will increase during the afternoon Thursday ahead of the fast moving rainy system. Rain develops in western Kern County by around 7 PM Thursday evening and then sweeps eastward through the evening. All of the rain from this system will occur after the sun sets Thursday and before the sun rises on Friday. I’m predicting a tenth to a quarter inch for the South Valley and a quarter to a half inch in the Kern County mountains.
A wildcard in all this is moisture streaming northward from Hurricane Seymour just southwest of Baja. The category 4 major cyclone could bring a surprisingly heavy dose of rain to our mountains if all elements come together at the right time. Following the overnight rain late Thursday, skies will clear out and a fairly nice day should ensue. Highs on Friday in the mid 70s with good air quality. But another weak system is scheduled to approach California on Sunday. After dry weather on most of Friday and all of Saturday, this next system is expected to just brush our area.
I have included only a 20% probability of rain for the Bakersfield area on Sunday afternoon. That is down a little from yesterday’s forecast. Most rain from that storm will miss us to the north. As Halloween dawns I think we will see some clouds but no rain. Noticeably cooler air should filter in for next week. Highs on Monday and Tuesday will only rise into the upper 60s. Another weak weather system is envisioned by computer models as clipping Kern County next Wednesday with a slight chance for showers. Highs will be in the low 70s.
It appears that a fundamental shift in our weather is here with our lovely 80s degree sunny weather being replaced by partly cloudy skies with daytime readings in the 60s and 70s. So the A+ day on Wednesday may be the last one for a while.
Chief Meteorologist MILES MUZIO- October 25, 2016 6:55 PM
Today's Record Temperatures